Saturday night sees the eagerly anticipated return of WBA, WBO, IBF and IBO world heavyweight champion, Anthony Joshua.
Now 21-0 with 20 KOs to his name, AJ faces the challenge of Russian slugger Alexander Povetkin at Wembley Stadium in front of 80,000 fans, who arrives in England looking to regain a championship strap after holding the WBA’s ‘regular’ title from 2011-2013.
This is a mandatory challenge for Joshua. With much talk surrounding the possible unification bout with WBC king Deontay Wilder, Eddie Hearn and AJ decided to fulfil their mandatory requirements first in the form of Povetkin; a Wilder-Fury showdown is expected in December this year.
The undercard at Wembley Stadium looks tasty as well. Luke Campbell looks to seek revenge over Yvan Mendy; the Frenchman took Campbell’s unbeaten record in 2015 and Campbell is chomping at the bit for shot at a lightweight world title again.
The British cruiserweight title is also up for grabs as Matty Askin defends against Lawrence Okolie, and David Price makes another return at heavyweight against 12-0 Sergey Kuzmin.
Where can we find value from Saturday’s card?
Anthony Joshua to win by decision @ 11/4 (BetVictor)
We all know the dangers of a heavyweight contest: knockouts are very common. This being said, there is an argument to favour this one ending with the judges scorecards. On March 31 earlier this year, Anthony Joshua went the distance for the first time in his professional career. Beating Joseph Parker in a unanimous decision, AJ showed another side to his boxing skillset in working his jab against the Kiwi. Parker proved illusive and hard to hit; Povetkin will prove hard to stop.
The Russian has only lost once in his professional career when he came up against the legendary force of Wladimir Klitschko. Despite struggling against the Ukrainian, Povetkin lasted the distance in a tricky fight; Wlad was also arguably at the peak of his powers.
Joshua has recently explained his desire to provide entertainment for his army of UK fans, and although he will chase the KO on Saturday, AJ is well aware of the threat the Russian poses. A change in tactics may occur half way through the fight once the Brit has tested the chin of Povetkin.
11/4 certainly shows value.
Over 8.5 rounds @ 1/1 (BetVictor)
Backing over 8.5 rounds allows a bit of breathing space in regards to our previous bet. There is no value in backing Joshua to win outright, so backing the fight to finish on the cards or between rounds 9-12 shows significant value at Evens.
Luke Campbell to beat Yvan Mendy at 2/7 (BetVictor)
Luke Campbell was shocked by the Frenchman in 2015 at London’s O2. Since then, the Hull fighter has challenged for Jorge Linares’ world title, stretched his record to 18-2 and got himself back into a position to rematch the 33-year-old. Mendy has won every fight since, however, Campbell has developed significantly. Now under the tutelage of Shane McGuigan, ‘Coolhand’ will have learnt his lessons from his split decision loss to the Frenchman.
2/7 isn’t a fantastic price, but the money is safe with Campbell sure to get the victory barring disaster. He will peak over the next year or so, with a Linares rematch in his sights.
Matty Askin to beat Lawrence Okolie @ 9/4 (BetVictor)
Make no mistake. This fight is a 50/50. Matty Askin is being severely overlooked by the British public, and perhaps Okolie and his team. Askin has won his last five fights – three coming against previously unbeaten opponents – and the 29-year-old shouldn’t be fazed by facing ‘Sauce’ at Wembley.
Okolie is technically superior, however, cruiserweight is a weight class known for it’s upsets. I’ll still be a little surprised if Askin wins, but in a 50/50 fight, the value lies in the underdog. 9/4 is a fantastic price for the champion.