Learn 3 Easy Rules to Bet MLB Intelligently

1) Make the Intelligent Bet YOU Want

Do you consider yourself an intelligent person? Would you carry around an umbrella if you were not expecting rain? I do not think so. Would you bet the moneyline just because you like a team’s starting pitcher? It is the same concept, but most would do it.

This is because the masses do not bet intelligently and do not realize what they are doing wrong. You are BETTER than this!

Have you ever thought in the following manner?

The Cubs have Jon Lester going and you really like the matchup against the Cardinals. After some handicapping, you figure that Lester will dominate the first couple of times through the order and – boom – you bet the Cubs moneyline.

Now what is wrong with that scenario?

First, a team win involves many more aspects than the just the starting pitcher’s performance. For example, the offense needs to score a few runs and the bullpen cannot blow it, to name a couple. You have determined Lester will pitch well. However, you have not calculated the Cubs’ chances of winning.

Remember, stick to what you predict!

Make prop bets on Lester or bet the 5-inning under line if you really think he is going to dominate. Some bettors become trapped thinking that they NEED to bet on game outcomes – moneylines and run lines.

On the flip side, intelligent MLB bettors will find their niche and profit from it. It might be totals, prop bets, 5-inning lines – you name it. Find something you are good at, and make the bet YOU want to make.

2) DON’T Undervalue Replacement Players

In many sports, injuries can really alter a team’s game plan and chances of winning. In a league as deep as the MLB, however, replacement players will not hinder a team’s efforts nearly as severely.

How many times has LeBron James had a really bad game with barely any production? Almost never, right? Now, how many times has Mike Trout gone 0-4? It probably happens once or twice a week.

As you can see, stars do not produce every single night in baseball. If Trout is out of the lineup, it is not the end of the world for the Angels. If a team’s best hitter is injured or resting, do not write off that team.

Toward the end of the season, many teams call up minor leaguers to get their shot in the bigs. Just because a team’s lineup contains three AAA prospects does not mean they will lose. Always look at the numbers and resist your first impulse to bail on a team when regular players fall out of the lineup.
3) Take Plus Odds on 50/50 Bets

Imagine we were flipping a coin and I offered you +110 odds on tails. You would accept that deal in a heartbeat. You are getting plus odds on a 50/50 bet which means you cannot lose in the long run.

These types of opportunities appear all the time in baseball. Obviously, you will do pretty well for yourself if you can recognize them. Say you are handicapping the upcoming Marlins-Mets game and you determine it is a straight toss-up – a 50/50 bet.

Next, you check the line and notice that the Marlins are +110 while the Mets are -115. Bingo! You have determined this game to be a 50/50 toss-up and yet you can receive plus odds on the Marlins. Pounce on that all day.

Some would shy away from betting this game because they do not feel strongly that the Marlins will win. Intelligent bettors know that getting paid 11 to 10 creates a positive expected value and big profits.

Prove you are an intelligent MLB bettor. Put what you have learned to the test. We will see you on the top!